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Will a formal US-Iran nuclear deal be signed by year end?

Trump said in early August 2026 that "perimeters" of a US-Iran deal have been agreed amid ongoing Middle East tensions. Will a formal agreement be signed before December 31, 2026?

Place Prediction

Odds:2.50x
Potential Payout:KES 125.00
Balance:KES 0.00

Probability Over Time

Market Outcomes

YES

26 trades • KES 112K

40%

2.50x

NO

31 trades • KES 108K

60%

1.67x