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Will Kenya launch a major cross-border operation into Somalia by year end?
Al-Shabaab killed five Kenyan security personnel in an ambush near Lafey in late July 2026. Will Kenya respond with a major cross-border military operation into Somalia before December 31, 2026?
Place Prediction
Odds:4.00x
Potential Payout:KES 200.00
Balance:KES 0.00
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Probability Over Time
Market Outcomes
YES
9 trades • KES 71K
25%
4.00x
NO
22 trades • KES 69K
75%
1.28x