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Will SpaceX launch Starship to orbit before Dec 31 2026?

Starship Flights 12 and 13 were suborbital tests; SpaceX is targeting Flight 14, its first genuine orbital attempt, for Q3 2026. Will SpaceX successfully launch Starship to orbit before December 31, 2026?

Place Prediction

Odds:1.72x
Potential Payout:KES 86.00
Balance:KES 0.00

Probability Over Time

Market Outcomes

YES

10 trades • KES 259K

58%

1.72x

NO

9 trades • KES 259K

42%

2.38x